The Effects of Wyoming’s Aging Population
Courtney Skinner,
Emily Feuz, and Haley Madia
With
new medical technology and improved knowledge about health and wellness,
American’s life expectancy is longer than ever, with a better expected quality
of life as well. Wyoming is the fastest aging state in the
country according to the Billing’s
Gazette. In addition to an already aging state, Wyoming has been named by national
publications as a top place of retirement due to its tax structure and climate.
In an article from the Wyoming Tribune-Eagle,
it is predicted that by the year 2020 Wyoming
will have the highest percentage of residents over the age of 65. With the
rapidly rising elderly population, Wyoming
faces many challenges and difficulties in its future.
One
of the most apparent challenges Wyoming
faces will be the additional costs and economic effects brought on by the
baby-boomer generation. During an average person’s lifespan, they tend to
borrow money when they are younger, as they begin to start their own lives and
jobs. Once they are more economically
independent, around middle-age, they begin to pay off their debts and save for
retirement. Wyoming’s concerns rise when retirees begin
to sell their assets and dig into their savings to finance their
retirement. What worries economists is
the negative impact on the economy that a loss in overall savings may have. James Poterba, an economist from the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology also worries about the housing
market. The baby-boomer generation has
bought houses as investments towards retirement. If they all try to sell at the same time,
Poterba worries about a possible slide in the housing market (Economist, 04).
Another
concern to Wyoming
is Medicare costs. Although the elderly population may be healthier than those
in the past, they may actually be costing Medicare more money. Medicare is a government program and unlike
private insurance companies, it must pay the costs of any beneficial medical
care. From an example in USA Today, they point out that the type
of defibrillator put in Vice President Dick Cheney is expected to become standard
care for cardiac patients. The instillation
of the defibrillator, which regulates the heart’s electrical rhythms, currently
cost about $30,000. This is expected to cost Medicare $14 billion by 2015, if only
half of those suffering from heart failure received this treatment. This is a
major national concern, but due to Wyoming’s
rapidly aging population, Medicare will also become a major cost to the state.
Economically,
Wyoming is
not very diverse. The state’s economy is
unable to absorb a range of young or old workers. Natural resources and mining have been the
fastest growing jobs in the state, with an increase of 15.5% according to the Casper Star-Tribune. These jobs require hard
physical labor and are unable to provide significant work to an aging
population. According to AARP economist Clare Hushbeck,
people are choosing to work past the customary retirement age of 65. This is
due in part to increased knowledge based jobs instead of hard labor. If Wyoming is able to
follow this national shift toward knowledge based work, the aging residents and
influx of retirees could possibly benefit the state’s economy.
Wyoming lacks a younger
population to replace the elderly one. Though Wyoming is the fastest aging state, its
birth-rate is at an all time low.
Between 1990 and 2000, Teton
County was the only part
of the state to experience an increase in school enrollment according to the Billings Gazette. Small towns in the
state secretly fear that they will eventually disappear as everyone moves and
long-term residents die out. The Casper Star-Tribune has reported on the
concern facing Chugwater’s future. Chugwater is currently trying to bring more school-aged
children and businesses there. It is a town characterized by houses built
before 1950 and owned almost completely by retired couples. It is a town that fears its end.
Not even Wyoming’s own university
is providing a replacement population. Approximately 70% of graduates from the University of Wyoming leave the state to find work
after graduation. Sheridan
author Samuel Western believes this issue must be examined. It is a common goal that students attending
state universities will desire to find work in that state after
graduating. According to Western, Wyoming must begin to
invest more in education and make efforts to diversify its economy. Such efforts are needed to keep graduates in
state to offset the costs of the aging population.
Wyoming has
traditionally been an agricultural state.
With the increased number of retirees and elderly part-time summer
residents, new concerns about the direction of agriculture and state are being
raised. Development of the land due to subdivisions or recreational purposes may
diminish the agricultural benefits of the land. This development can also
increase land prices, which in turn pushes out long-term residents with lower
incomes. There is some controversy to how different age groups view land and
its use. Some studies support the idea
that younger people tend to be more environmentally concerned about the land,
while the elderly tend to view land as retirement investments. Other studies
suggest that younger residents do not value open space and support land use
controls as much as the older population does (Inman, Mcleod,
02). Consequently, an older population in Wyoming will most likely in the future be in
strong support of land use controls.
The
baby-boomers are quickly approaching retirement age. Despite any negative
effects that may come with this, there is nothing the state can do to keep them
from aging. The state’s future will be
determined in how they choose to deal with this issue. Wyoming must try to focus on possible
benefits from the baby-boomer and senior population.
An example of a
town benefiting from the aging population is Sheridan, Wyoming. Sheridan’s Big Horn Mountains, active down-town area, and community
college have attracted older residents to the community, points out the Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Mayor Jim Wilson has said
the town benefits from the volunteer efforts of older citizens and the
expertise they bring from their careers.
Older residents choosing to retire in Wyoming
can bring their knowledge and experience from bigger city jobs to small Wyoming town and provide
younger citizens with small town opportunities that were not available in the
past. Sheridan
has also reaped benefits from the baby-boomers putting in efforts to renovate
down town buildings that would otherwise be vacant and deteriorating.
The American
Association of Retired Persons of Wyoming estimates that 10% of Wyoming’s population is
65 or older. That number is predicted to
increase to 20% in a little over a decade.
Wyoming
faces many challenges ahead concerning its aging population. Top issue to the state will be increased
Medicare expenses, economic effects of the baby-boomers savings and spending,
and the question as to who will replace the older generation in Wyoming as younger
generations move out of state. It is up to Wyoming to start preparing right
now. The state must prepare for these
costs and also try to focus on how to gain benefits from an aging statewide
population.
Works Cited
A Future Meltodwn? Economist, Vol.372 Issue 8391, p72-72. Retrieved March 26,2006, from EBSCO Host Database
Inman, K. & Mcleod, D.M. (2002). Property Rights and Public Interests: A Wyoming Agricultural Lands Study. Growth and Change, p323-336. Retrieved March 26,2006, from EBSCO Host Database
Links
Wyoming Economic Analysis Division
Wyoming Debates Economics of Courting even more Retirees
The Wyoming Governor's Summit on Aging